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New Poll shows the NZ opposition parties plough ahead of the hapless Lab/Green shambles of a government

It may pay to point out this poll was taken and finished before Luxon was elected leader, but was taken when Collins was lanced from the leadership . . . . . . Friday, 3 December 2021 NZ Parliamentary Opposition: National/ Act NZ/ Maori Party (47%) ahead of Labour/Greens coalition (46.5%) for the first time • Act NZ is the most popular party for men aged 18-49 Support for New Zealand’s Labour/Greens ‘coalition’ government was down 3.5% points to 46.5% in November as support for the Labour Party dropped 3.5% points to 36%. Support for the Greens was unchanged at 10.5%. This is the lowest level of support for Labour since the election of the Jacinda Ardern-led Government in October 2017 with 36.9% of the vote. For the first time since the election support for the Parliamentary Opposition National/ Act NZ/ Maori Party has now overtaken the Government at 47% in November, up 3% points since October. However, it is worth noting there is no formal agreement between these three opposition parties. Support rose for all three opposition parties with National up 0.5% points to 26.5%, Act NZ up 1.5% points to a new record high of 17.5% and support for the Maori Party hitting its highest for over five years since January 2016, up 1% point to 3%. New Zealand’s largest city of Auckland was in an extended lockdown throughout the month of November, and it is only this week that bars, restaurants and gyms in the city are re-opening after being closed for more than three months. The big political event in November came right at the end of the month when National Leader Judith Collins lost a vote of no confidence last week and lost the leadership of the party. Despite the combined support of National/ Act NZ/ Maori Party overtaking Labour/ Greens for the first time in November this has not been because of an increase in support for National. Since last year’s NZ Election National support has increased by 0.9% points while support for Act NZ has more than doubled, up by 9.9% points to 17.5%. A small minority of 6.5% of electors support other minor parties outside Parliament with support for New Zealand First unchanged at 2.5%, The Opportunities Party up 0.5% points to 1.5% and support for the New Conservative Party down 0.5% points to 1% in November. This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 951 electors during November. Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?” Of all electors surveyed 5.5%, up 1.5% points, did not name a party. New Zealand Government Confidence Rating drops 8pts to 101.5 in November – the lowest since Jacinda Ardern became Prime Minister four years ago in late 2017 The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating dropped by 8pts in November to 101.5 to be at its lowest since Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern came to office four years ago in October 2017. The drop in Government Confidence came after the Auckland lockdown was extended throughout November. In November only 46% (down 2% points) of electors said New Zealand was ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 44.5% (up 6% points) who said New Zealand was ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

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